2014-Fitsum Woldemeskel

Project description

2011 – 2014

Fitsum was supervised by Ashish, Sivakumar and Raj, and worked on characterising uncertainty in GCM simulations, coming up with a metric that gave a standard error associated with GCM precip and temperature simulations that varied in space and time. This metric showed clearly that GCM structural uncertainty was the dominant source of uncertainty, and while this remained more or less unchanged over time, the scenario uncertainty increased as would be expected.

The following papers came off the PhD:

  • Woldemeskel, F. M., A. Sharma, B. Sivakumar, and R. Mehrotra (2012), An error estimation method for precipitation and temperature projections for future climates, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 117, Artn D22104Doi 10.1029/2012jd018062.
  • Woldemeskel, F. M., B. Sivakumar, and A. Sharma (2013), Merging gauge and satellite rainfall with specification of associated uncertainty across Australia, Journal of Hydrology, 499, 167-176.
  • Woldemeskel, F., A. Sharma, B. Sivakumar, and R. Mehrotra (2014), A framework to quantify GCM uncertainties for use in impact assessment studies, Journal of Hydrology, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.025.
  • Woldemeskel, F. M., A. Sharma, B. Sivakumar, and R. Mehrotra (2016), Quantification of precipitation and temperature uncertainties simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 models, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(1), 3-17, doi:10.1002/2015JD023719.